Company News

Global Markets Unpacked: Tim Waterer’s January Insights Across Leading Media Platforms

January 27, 2025

KCM Trade's Chief Market Analyst, Tim Waterer, featured in leading financial media outlets, shared his expert analysis of global market trends and economic developments.

Here’s the highlights of his interviews:

TRT World Interview: Japan’s Economic Signals and Fast Retailing’s Challenges

Japan’s Economic Performance:

  • November household spending fell 0.4% year-on-year, better than the expected 0.6% decline but still negative.
  • Average household income rose 0.7%, indicating some recovery in wealth levels.
  • The Bank of Japan is likely to raise interest rates in 2025 to stabilize the yen and combat inflation.

Fast Retailing’s Stock Decline:

  • Despite robust earnings, Fast Retailing (Uniqlo’s parent company) faced a 7.8% stock drop due to concerns over weaker Chinese demand.
  • Investors took profits after the stock’s 177% rally over the past six months.

TRT World Interview: USD Strength and Resilient US Jobs Market

USD Performance:

  • The US dollar reached multi-year highs against the Euro and British pound, fueled by resilient labor market data.
  • Weekly jobless claims hit an eight-month low, signaling ongoing strength in the US economy.

Outlook for 2025:

  • The Fed’s hawkish stance supports the USD, keeping it in demand as other major economies face growth challenges.

BBC Interview: South Korea’s Economy and Political Uncertainty

KOSPI Index Gains:

  • South Korea’s KOSPI index rose, supported by a depreciating won that boosted export competitiveness.

Challenges:

  • Political instability, including attempts to arrest former President Yoon, contributed to foreign investment outflows.

Economic Outlook:

  • A stable political environment and strategic reforms are essential to sustain foreign investor confidence.

Ausbiz Interview: Trade Wars and Treasury Yields as Key Risks

Geopolitical Risks:

  • Rising US treasury yields (10-year at 4.6%) may curb market enthusiasm due to implications for interest rates.
  • Possible trade wars under President Trump, with proposed 60% tariffs on Chinese imports, could disrupt global markets.

Investor Sentiment:

  • Both the US and China have incentives to negotiate moderate tariff levels, reducing economic volatility.

RTHK Money Talk Interview: Bond Yield Divergence and Trade Policies

Bond Market Trends:

  • US bond yields rose due to inflation, while Chinese yields declined amid deflationary concerns, creating the widest-ever US-China yield spread.

Trade Policies:

  • Trump government may potentially bring trade measures which can create volatility to the market.
  • Considering the current situation, both US and China will likely adapt a mid-ground approach to seek balance.

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